Roulette Paradox

Roulette Paradox: kugwiritsa ntchito parado ya parrondo ngati roulette

Ngati mukufuna kuphunzira zambiri Chododometsa cha Parrondo, muyenera kudziwa kuti pa Disembala 23, 1999, magazini yotchuka yasayansi yaku Britain, yotchedwa Nature, idasindikiza nkhani yomwe idachita chidwi ndi akatswiri a sayansi ya masamu, akatswiri a masamu, akatswiri amitengo ndi akatswiri owerengera anthu ochokera padziko lonse lapansi.

Wolembayo ndi injiniya waku Australia, Derek Abbott, yemwe adafotokozera zomwe zimatchedwa Parrondo chododometsa.

Pulofesa. Juan Manuel Rodriguez Parrondo ndi wasayansi waku University of Madrid, yemwe wasonyeza momwe mungapambanitsire masamu potenga nawo gawo pamasewera awiri olakwika a juga (mwa omwe mwayi uliwonse umatiyika pachiwopsezo).

Wasayansi waku Spain adapanga kugwiritsa ntchito malingaliro ake pamasewera ampikisano kuti afotokozere njira zomwe adafufuzira pa mayendedwe apuloteni m'maselo, pazinthu zina zapadera za kayendedwe ka Brownian mamolekyulu amadzimadzi kapena gasi komanso pamavuto ena a thermodynamics.

Chododometsa cha Parrondo chimafotokoza masewera awiri otchova juga potengera kuponya ndalama ziwiri.

Mitu kapena michira, ngati ndalamazo sizinagwedezeke (mwachitsanzo, ngati masewerawa ndi achilungamo), mwayi wopambana ndi 50%.

M'masewera a Parrondo A, ndalama (zomwe tizitche ndalama X) sizolondola: pafupifupi zimatuluka mitu 495 yokha mwa 1.000.

Chifukwa chake kusewera masewera A, timaluza pamapeto pake. M'masewera B timapikabe pamitu, koma timagwiritsa ntchito ndalama ziwiri (zomwe timazipatsa mayina Y ndi Z).

Ndalama Z ndizovuta kwambiri: zimangopatsa mitu maulendo 50 mwa 1.000 (nthawi imodzi mwa 20); Ndalama Y, kumbali inayo, imatisangalatsa, ndikupanga mitu nthawi 700 mwa 1.000.

Lamulo lina la masewera B ndikuti timagwiritsa ntchito ndalama Z pokhapokha ngati tili ndi tindalama tating'ono tomwe titha kugawanika ndi 3. Ngati nambala iyi siyigawanika ndi 3, nthawi zonse timagwiritsa ntchito ndalama Y zokha.

Ngakhale pamasewera B mumaluza pomalizira pake, mwayi wopambana ndi 1/3 (kuchuluka kwa nthawi yomwe timagwiritsa ntchito ndalama Z) kuchulukitsa 0,05 (mwachitsanzo makumi awiri) yomwe imapereka 0,01666 ... kuphatikiza 2/3 kuchulukitsidwa ndi 0,7 yomwe ndi 0,46666.

Chiwerengero cha ziyembekezo ziwirizi ndi 2 kapena: ochepera 0,48333%. 

Timaliza kuti sitikufuna kusewera masewera A kapena masewera B.

Chiwonetsero cha Parrondo ndichodabwitsa, chifukwa ngati timasewera A kawiri ndi masewera B kawiri ndikupitiliza chonchi, kapena tikasankha nthawi zina A ndipo nthawi zina B, m'malo motaya, timapambana. Tikamasewera nthawi yayitali, timapambananso!

Pulofesa Parrondo adatsimikiza izi pogwiritsa ntchito njira zowerengera masamu zomwe sizili choncho pakadali pano.

Adayesanso zosewerera zingapo za makompyuta 50.000, kutsimikizira izi zodabwitsa, zomwe zikuwoneka kuti zikutsutsana ndi malingaliro athu.

Mkhalidwe wa masewera awiri mwamwayi ofotokozedwa ndi zododometsa za Parrondo ndi ofanana ndendende ndi supuni yomwe imazunguliridwa ndi gudumu loyenda, lotengeka ndi mamolekyulu amafuta omwe amenya mwangozi.

Khasu ndi gudumu la mano ndi mano opendekeka ngati a macheka, omwe amatha kutembenukira mbali imodzi yokha, ndiye kuti, osati mbali inayo, chifukwa pali kabuleti kamene kamamatira pakati pa mano awiri ndi zotchinga gudumu (ndi chinthu cha 'a' pachithunzipa pansipa).

Potengera mbali yololedwa, komabe, supuniyo imayenda pamwamba pamano ndipo siyimatchinga kasinthasintha.

Momwemonso kapangidwe kameneka kangatenge mphamvu kuchokera ku mamolekyulu a gasi omwe amayenda mosadukiza kulowera komweko ndikukhala opanda chidwi ndi omwe amapita mbali ina.

Poyang'ana koyamba zitha kuwoneka kuti chipangizochi chikhoza kuphwanya Mfundo Yachiwiri ya Thermodynamics, chifukwa imatha kutulutsa mphamvu kuchokera ku mpweya kutentha kamodzi, osagwiritsa ntchito kulumpha kuchokera kuzizira mpaka kuzizira.

Zachidziwikire kuti sizili choncho, sizotheka kuphwanya Mfundo Yachiwiri ya Thermodynamics ndi malingaliro abodza a Parrondo, obadwira kuti afotokozere zovuta za chilengedwe, zitha kungokhala zothandiza kwa iwo omwe amayesetsa kuwamvetsetsa.


Ntchito roulette

Zaka zambiri zadutsa kuchokera pomwe chiphunzitso chosangalatsachi chidaperekedwa koyamba, ndikudzutsa chidwi cha ophunzira ndi gulu lonse lasayansi.

Kwa zaka zambiri pakhala kuyesayesa kochuluka kuyigwiritsa ntchito pobiriwira, koma zomwe ndikudziwa kuti palibe amene wapambana mpaka pano.


Chifukwa chodabwitsachi chikupambana

Nditasanthula kukhazikika kwa parado wa Parrondo, ndidatha kuzindikira kuti ndichopambana popeza masanjidwe amasewera a ABBAB pochita 'amachepetsa' kuchuluka kwa ndalama Z (yomwe imatuluka nthawi 50 mwa 1.000) zokwanira kuti ndalama zabwino kwambiri (ndalama Y + 70%) zimatha kupambana kuposa kuchuluka kwa ndalama zotayika X (win frequency 49,5%) ndi Z (5%).

Pochita, pamasewera B okhaokha odabwitsa a Parrondo, ndalama Z, amasewera pokhapokha ndalama zikagawanika ndi 3, ndiye kuti zimagwiritsidwa ntchito 1/3 ya nthawiyo, kapena pafupifupi 33,33%.

Komabe, pophatikiza masewera A pamutuwu, ngati chiwembu chomwe chidzatsatidwe posankha ndalama kuti mugwiritse ntchito (yomwe kuyambira pano tidzaitcha 'matrix') nthawi zonse ndi ABBAB, izisewedwa 40% ya nthawiyo (pali 2 mawu A kuchokera pa 5 mu matrix), kotero kuti ndalama Z kuchokera pamawonekedwe ake a 33,33% pamasewera B okha, zimatsikira ku 1/3 mwa 60% yotsala, kapena 20% pamasewera apadziko lonse lapansi, mwachitsanzo okwanira kulola ndalama Y (+ 70%) kuti athe kuthana ndi zovuta zomwe zimadza chifukwa cha ndalama ziwiri zotsalazo.

Mwakutero, Game A, ngakhale ili yopanda phindu palokha, imakhala ngati vuto (phokoso) pachinthu chovuta kwambiri (ndalama Z) zamasewera B.


Chifukwa chodabwitsachi sichikupambana

Vuto lomwe silingathe kuthetsedwa la roulette ndikuti palibe ndalama (kubetcha) zomwe zimakhala ndi 70% zotuluka ndikuti, kupambana / kutaya, kumangowerengera gawo limodzi ngati ndalama zenizeni.

Ndizowona kuti ngati ndalamayi ikanakhala ya roulette, ikadakhala yokwanira kuti izisewera mwachindunji ndipo, monga mungaganizire, zolemba zanga zonsezi sizingakhale zomveka.

Komabe, machitidwe oyambilira a zodabwitsazi awonetsedwa bwino kuti akuchita bwino, ndiye kuti, ndizotheka kulumikizana kotero kuti, poganiza kuti ndalama Y ilidi, imasinthiratu mwayi wanyumba.

Cholinga chathu, ngati tikufuna kuyigwiritsa ntchito pa roulette, ziyenera kukhala kuti tizipanganso mwa njira "yokhulupirika", kusiya ntchito yobwezeretsanso mtengo wathu kuti tibwezeretse ndalama za Y (+ 70%) kuti ziziyenda .

Tisanayambe kupanga zaluso, komabe, tiyenera kukhazikitsa chinthu chofunikira kwambiri, ndiko kuti timvetsetse momwe makina athu amapindulira peresenti, kuti tidziwe zokolola zake, mfundo yomwe itithandizire kudziwa gawo lamasewera athu, kapena ...


Omwe sanamvetsetse kwambiri: Stopwin

M'munda wamasewera, anthu amakhulupirira kuti Stopwin ndi wopanda ntchito, chifukwa, ngati makina apambana, amapambana nthawi zonse, chifukwa chake Stopwin alibe nzeru kupatula kufupikitsa masewerawa mosafunikira ndipo zomwezo zimagwiranso ntchito ngati dongosololi litayika. Stopwin, monga ndikumvetsetsa, ndiyofunikira.

Kuyambira motsimikiza kuti pakadali pano palibe makina opambana masamu pa roulette, Stopwin amakhala wotsimikiza akagwiritsidwa ntchito mozindikira.

Nthawi zambiri ndimawerenga pamabwalo angapo apaintaneti, zomwe osewera amalemba omwe amati amagwiritsa ntchito Stopwin ya magawo 3/4/5/10 pagawo lililonse ndi njira yawo, koma osanenapo chifukwa chomwe amasankhira mayunitsi angapo.

Mwina timakonda kuganiza kuti mwina pakupambana mayunitsi asanu patsiku la mayuro 5, kumapeto kwa mwezi amapanga ma euro 10, pafupifupi malipiro owonjezera, koma pakadali pano ndikugwirizana ndi osewera ambiri, a Stopwin sachita nzeru, bola ngati ikadali yokhazikika.

Stopwin, kuti ikhale yothandiza konkriti, iyenera kuwerengedwa koyamba ndipo izi zitha kuchitika pokhapokha kutsimikizira a priori zomwe zili njira yomwe tikufuna kugwiritsa ntchito patebulo lobiriwira.

chitsanzo: ngati ndaganiza zokhazikitsa masewera anga m'njira yoti ipereke 10% pafupifupi ndipo ndasankha kusewera 100 pa gawo ndipo, nditasewera 70 yokha, ndili kale ndimayunitsi 10 m'manja, kupatula kukhala ndi mwayi , Ndinasonkhanitsa magawo atatu omwe sanachitike chifukwa cha ine, chifukwa makina anga, okhala ndi zokolola zapakati pa 3%, mwa zikwapu 10 zomwe zidaseweredwa zimayenera kundipangitsa kuti ndipambane 70 zokha osati 7.

Nditakwaniritsa cholinga changa (mayunitsi 10 m'mapiketi 100) ndikuwombera 30 pasadakhale, ndiyimitsa, ndimagwiritsa ntchito Stopwin, popereka zokolola zamasewera omwe ndikugwiritsa ntchito, muma 30 otsala omwe ndatsala pang'ono kuvotera kapena choyipa kuposa kutaya, ndikudziwonetsa ndekha pamisonkho popanda chifukwa chomveka.

Chifukwa china chomveka chogwiritsa ntchito Stopwin chimalumikizidwa ndi zomwe ndidawonetsa mwamphamvu zaka zingapo zapitazo kudzera pakufanizira kwa PC, pomwe ndidazindikira kuti Marigny De Grilleau anali kulakwitsa, Chifukwa kukhazikika kwaumwini kulibe kapena bwino:

mu roulette, zidutswa zimasanthuledwa kokha kutengera jenereta yomwe idatulutsa mosasunthika ma spins.

Chifukwa chake, ngati roulette yomwe yatchulidwayi yandipangitsa kupambana kuposa zongopeka, ndikugwiritsa ntchito Stopwin ndipo sizitanthauza kuti sindiseweranso tsikulo, koma tsiku lomwelo sindiseweranso roulette imeneyo.

Kupanda ntchito kwa Stopwin ndiye bodza lalikulu lomwe wosewerayo amadziuza kuti apewe kusiya kusewera, ndi mphatso ina yomwe timamupatsa wogulitsa, chifukwa ngati gudumu latikomera, posayimitsa timaloleza kuti lipezenso nyenyeswa (gap) yomwe adangotipangira.


Roulette Paradox pulogalamu yoyeseza

Kuti nditsimikizire kuti zokolola (roi%) zoyambilira za Parrondo ndizotani, ndidapanga pulogalamu yoyeseza yomwe imatulutsanso ndalama za 3 ndipo chifukwa chake ndidatha kupenda kutsatizana kwa zochitika zomwe zikukhudzana ndi chiphunzitsochi, komanso monga mwachidziwikire yesani mitundu ina yopambana nthawi zonse, chifukwa cha mitundu ingapo yamasewera A ndi B.

Mu Paradox Simulator, kuwonjezera pamatrix amasewera, ndizotheka kusiyanitsa kuchuluka kwa ndalama zitatu, chifukwa chake, mopanda tsankho pamatrix a ABBAB okhazikika, ndizotheka kuyesa kusintha magawo azandalama zoyambirira, ndi magawo omwe amafananirana ndi mabetcha omwe atha kupangidwa patebulo la roulette.

Tisanachite izi, komabe, kuti tidziwe roi% ya parrondo chododometsa, tiyenera kuzindikira motsimikiza kuti ndalama zathu zitatu zikhala ziti, zomwe tidzapitirize kuzitcha X, Y, ndi Z.

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Makobidi atatu

Kuyambira kuchuluka kwa ndalama zandalama 3 zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pazododometsa za Parrondo, tiyeni tsopano tiyesetse kumvetsetsa zomwe Roulette ingatipatse.

Kuwerengera kuchuluka komwe kungalowe mu Simulator ndikosavuta: ingogawani mwayi womwe tikufuna kulingalira ndi 37; Mwachitsanzo, mwayi wosavuta wapangidwa ndi manambala 18, kotero 18/37 = 0,4865 kotero mu pulogalamuyi tidzalowa mtengo 486.

Monga ndanenera kale, ndalama X yomwe mu chodabwitsayi imapambana 49,5% ya nthawi kwa ife itha kukhala mwayi wosavuta, womwe umapambana 48,65% ya nthawiyo (sikofunikira kugawa magawo mpaka decimal).

Ndalama yoyamba iyi ndiyabwino kwambiri, chifukwa imangopambana kapena kutaya gawo limodzi, monga ndalama yeniyeni.

Ndalama Y, yomwe modabwitsa imapambana 70% ya nthawiyo ndiye 'oyendetsa galimoto' athu, ndiyomwe imapanga phindu, ndipo mwatsoka, posakhalitsa, tiyenera kuyambiranso ndi luso.

Kumbukirani kuti kuti tichite kubereka tiyenera kuyesetsa, momwe tingathere, kutsanzira momwe ndalama zilili zenizeni; mutha kusangalala momwe mukuwonera, pakuyesa kwanga ndidaganizira mawu osavuta 2 a martingale, popeza izi zimapambana 1 unit yokhala ndi ziwerengero za 73,63% ndipo ndikapambana ndimapeza 1 unit (yangwiro!), Koma ndikataya mwatsoka , Ndataya mayunitsi a 3 m'malo mwa imodzi (tsoka!).

Magawo omwe atayikawa ndiye omwe adzayesere kuyambiranso, ntchito yomwe yaperekedwa kwa ndalama za Z (tiwona posachedwa).

Ndalama Z, zomwe zimakhala zododometsa za 5%, zimatha kutulutsidwa bwino ndikubetcha kavalo (kugawanika), komwe nthawi iliyonse imatha kutuluka 5,41%, mogwirizana ndi kuchuluka kwazodabwitsazi koma izi ndalama zikapambana, mosiyana ndi zodabwitsazi, sizimangopambana 1 unit, koma zimapambana 17 (zabwino!).

Tiyeni tiime kwakanthawi tisanapitilize; tsopano tazindikira magawo omwe amatuluka mwandalama zathu zitatu zatsopano zomwe ndi:

  1. Ndalama X - 48,65% - mwayi wosavuta;
  2. Ndalama Y - 73,63% - 2-term martingale;
  3. Ndalama Z - 5,41% - kavalo (kugawanika).

Pakadali pano tili ndi zonse zofunika kukhazikitsa, chifukwa cha Paradox Simulator, ndalama zathu zitatu zingapindule bwanji ngati ndalama Y itayika imodzi yokha m'malo mwa 3 ndipo ngati ndalama Z ipambana gawo limodzi m'malo mwa 1.


Dziwani zokolola (roi%)

Ngati ndingalowe magawo atatu mu Simulator, ndiye 486 ya ndalama X, 736 ya Y ndi 54 ya Z ndikuyendetsa miliyoni, zitha kuti dongosololi lili ndi roi% pafupifupi 3,5%.

Pakadali pano, nditazindikira ndalama zitatu, ndiyenera kudzipanga ndekha kusamalira mabetcha kuti ndiyesere kupeza mayunitsi awiri omwe ndalamazo Y amatayika kuposa ndalama zenizeni, ngati kuti ndichita bwino pantchitoyi, pakatikati / m'kupita kwa nthawi nditha kungowonetsetsa kuti ndawina 3% kapena pafupifupi mayunitsi atatu ndi theka masekondi 2 aliwonse omwe amasewera, zolipiritsa zolipiridwa kumene!

Tiyeni tipitilize: pamapeto pake tili ndi ndalama zitatu ndipo tikudziwa ndendende motsatira momwe matrix amafotokozera:

GAME A - Ndalama X (mwayi umodzi wosavuta)

GAME B - Coin Y (martingale of 2 term with stop at the first unit won) kapena Coin Z (split) pokhapokha ndalama zitagawanika ndi 3

GAME B - Coin Y (martingale of 2 term with stop at the first unit won) kapena Coin Z (split) pokhapokha ndalama zitagawanika ndi 3

GAME A - Ndalama X (mwayi umodzi wosavuta)

GAME B - Coin Y (martingale of 2 term with stop at the first unit won) kapena Coin Z (split) pokhapokha ndalama zitagawanika ndi 3

Kuyambira kuwombera kwachisanu ndi chimodzi kupita mtsogolo, imayambiranso kuyambira kuwombera 1 ndi zina zotero.


Ndimasewera mwachisawawa ndikupambana!

Kodi kusankha mwayi kubetcherana? Ndasankha kuwasankha mwachisawawa ndipo ndifotokozeranso chifukwa chake.

Ophunzira masamu kwazaka zambiri alangiza wosewera wosaukirayu ndi malingaliro monga 'pa roulette sitiroko yatsopano ndi sitiroko yatsopano' kapena 'roulette sikumbukira bwino', popeza ndikugwirizana ndi lingaliro ili, pulogalamu yatsopano yomwe ndidapanga kuyang'anira ndalama ndi kubetcha (ndiyankhula za izi posachedwa), ndidayika jenereta yosasintha yomwe nthawi iliyonse imandiwonetsa zomwe ndiyenera kubetcha potengera mtundu wa ndalama zomwe ndiyenera kutsatira kutsatira matrix a ABBAB.

Mbali iyi yamasewera mwachisawawa m'malingaliro mwanga ndiyofunikira monga china chilichonse, chifukwa ndikakhala pansi patebulo, sindikudziwa za zinyalala zomwe roulette yapanga m'mbuyomu.

M'malo mwake, ngati, ngati, ndasankha kuti ndizisewera ndalama zasiliva X zofiira nthawi zonse komanso kuti roulette yam'mbuyomo idatayidwa kwambiri ndi zofiira, mwina ndizivutika ndi mdima wakuda, pomwe zotsutsana ndizowona chifukwa chake nditha kupambana, sindingathe kuneneratu kuwombera kulikonse ndi kuwombera kwatsopano, ndiye ndikupereka tsogolo langa kwa wopanga pulogalamuyi mwachisawawa, kuti ndikhale ndi njira 100% kutengera kuchuluka kwa zochitika zamtsogolo osati zam'mbuyomu, zomwe monga momwe ndikudziwira zakhala zikulepheretsa wosewera

Chifukwa chake, mwachidule:

  • ngati ndiyenera kusewera ndalama X: Ndimasewera mwayi wosavuta;
  • ngati ndiyenera kusewera ndalama Y: kuwombera koyamba ndimasewera gawo limodzi mwamwayi (ndikapambana), ndikataya, ndimasewera mayunitsi awiri pamwayi wina womwe suli wofanana ndi wa kuwombera koyamba, kuchuluka kwathu kwakuti% ya chigonjetso sichisintha ngati titasintha mwayi chifukwa nthawi zonse amatanthauza kuthekera kokuyerekeza manambala 1 mwa 2 mgunda ziwiri zotsatizana;
  • ngati ndiyenera kusewera ndalama Z: kavalo (wogawanika) mwachisawawa pakati pa onse omwe amapezeka pamasewera.

Sinthani ndalama (Money Management)

Tsopano tafika pamutu wofunikira kwambiri: kasamalidwe ka kaundula wa ndalama ndi kuchira.

Tikukukumbutsani kuti, chifukwa cha pulogalamu yoyeseza, tatsimikizira kuti ngati ndalama Y sinataye mayunitsi atatu ndipo ngati ndalama Z sinapambane 3, imakhala ndi zokolola za 17% (tisaiwale mtengo wake); komabe, kuti tigwiritse ntchito mokhulupirika chiwembu chododometsa ndikuti chilolere kuti chiwonetse bwino kubetcha komwe kuyenera kupangidwa, tiyenera kupanga nkhani yachabechabe, yomwe tidzayitcha Nkhani yodabwitsa.

Bokosili lidzagwiritsidwa ntchito kumvetsetsa zomwe zimachitika pakudzipereka kwakanthawi ndikulola kuti tilingalire mozama pakuukira kwathu.

Chifuwa Chododometsa, chidzawerengedwa chimodzimodzi ngati kugunda / ndalama iliyonse kumatulutsa +1 kapena -1 potero kupatula mayunitsi ena onse omwe adatayika kuchokera ku ndalama Y, ndi zina zomwe zidapambanidwa kuchokera ku ndalama Z.

Ndalamayi, ikawerengedwa motere, imalemekeza bwino chiwembu chodabwitsachi chifukwa chake imangopambana masamu pamapeto pake.

Chachiwiri Malo osungira ndalama tikufuna, ndikuti m'malo mwake weniweni, komwe tiziwerengera ndendende kuchuluka kwa zomwe tili nazo mthumba mwathu poyerekeza ndi ma spins omwe amasewera (real roi%).

Pomaliza, wokamba wachitatu, yemwe timutche Bokosi lobwezeretsa ndipo momwe mayunitsi onse owonjezera omwe adatayika ndi ndalama Y ndi omwe adapambana ndi ndalama Z adzakumana.

Chifukwa chake ndikapambana ndi:

  • Ndalama X: chizindikiro cha +1 mu Royal Chest ndi +1 mu Paradox Chest;
  • Ndalama Y (ngati ndipambana pa kuwombera koyamba kapena kwachiwiri kwa martingale): 1 sign in the Royal Bank and +1 in the Paradox Bank;
  • Ndalama Z: +17 mu Royal Chest ndi +1 mu Paradox Chest ndi +16 mu Recovery Chest.

M'malo mwake, ngati nditayika ndi:

  • Ndalama X: -1 kusaina mu Royal Bank ndi -1 ku Paradox Bank;
  • Ndalama Y (ngati inenso nditaya mfuti yachiwiri ya martingale): lowani -3 ku Cassa Reale, -1 ku Cassa Paradox ndi -2 ku Cassa Recovery;
  • Ndalama Z: -1 kusaina mu Royal Bank ndi -1 ku Paradox Bank.

Chifukwa chiyani mu Kubwezeretsa Ndalama ndikapambana ndi ndalama Z +16 m'malo mwa + 17?

Ndimazichita chifukwa gawo limodzi mwa 17 omwe amapambana nthawi zonse amapita kukapanga Z, ngati kuti ndi ndalama zenizeni, 16 otsala amapanga "zotsalira" zanga; Nthawi zonse kumbukirani kuti Paradox Cashier iyenera kuyang'aniridwa ndendende ngati kuti masewerawa adachitika ndi ndalama zitatu zenizeni, zomwe zimangopereka +1 / -1.

Chifukwa chake, ngati pamasewera ndiyenera kusewera ndalama Z (kugawanika) izi ndimangochita pokhapokha Kubwezeretsa Cash kuli kolakwika; m'malo mwake, ngati Kubwezeretsa Cash ndi zero, ndalama Z sizifunikira kuti zibwezere chilichonse, bwanji kudzilipira ndi kubetcha pa 5,41%?

Potere ndimasewera ndalama yanga yabwino kwambiri, yomwe ndi mwayi wosavuta m'malo mwa kavalo.

Pakadali pano, ngati nthawi iliyonse ndalama Z zikaseweredwa, Mlandu Wobwezeretsa umakhala pa zero ndipo ndimasewera mwayi wosavuta, zokolola% zamtunduwu siziposa 3,5%, ndikugwiritsa ntchito Simulator ndikusinthira Z ndalama zamtengo wapatali 54 (kavalo) ndi 486 (mwayi wosavuta) zidzakhala kuti zokolola kuchokera ku 3,5% zikukwera kufika pafupifupi 18%, mtengo womwe ungazindikire RMP (zochuluka zotheka zokolola).


Sungani zowonjezera

Fund Fund ikhozanso kutengeredwa ndi Royal Bank, bwanji?

Mwachitsanzo, ngati 10 itadutsa idayenda bwino kwambiri (nthawi zonse kumbukirani kuti ndalama Y imayendera 73,65% kuthekera) ndipo ku Royal Bank ndili ndi mayunitsi 4, mayunitsi anayiwa ndiochulukirapo monga Roi% poyerekeza ndi ma spins omwe adasewera ( 4%) ndipo popeza zokolola zochuluka zomwe tatsimikizira kuti ndi 40% (tinene kuti 18% kuti timalize), ndili ndi mayunitsi awiri omwe sanachitike chifukwa cha ine ndipo chifukwa chake 'ndimasuntha' kuwerengera kuchokera ku Royal Bank kupita ku Kubwezeretsa chimodzi, kundilola chinthu chimodzi chofunikira kwambiri: kuchedwetsa kuyendetsa pang'onopang'ono ndi kavalo, chifukwa ndalama Y ikataya mayunitsi atatu, awiri omwe amapita ku Cassa Recovery adzakhudzidwa kwathunthu ndi zotsalira zam'mbuyomu, zomwe zimandilola kusewera ndalama Z kachiwiri ndi mwayi wosavuta m'malo mogwiritsa ntchito kavalo.

Zomwezo zimapitilira momwe Cash ya Kubwezeretsa mwachitsanzo ili pa -8 ndipo ndimapambana ndalama ndi kavalo; mwa mayunitsi 17 omwe adapambana 1 amapita ku Paradox Box (yovomerezeka) ndipo 16 otsalawo amabweretsa ndalama zotsalira za Recovery Box kuyambira -8 mpaka +8, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti paziphuphu 4 zotayika ndi ndalama Y (kumbukirani kuti ndalamayi imapanga -2 mayunitsi a zotayika zilizonse), ndizitha kupewa kuyambitsa kuyendetsa ndi kavalo.

Pomaliza, polingalira za Roi wocheperako (3,5%) ndizochulukirapo (18%), ndikukhulupirira kuti nkoyenera kuti kuwerengera konse kokhudzana ndi kugawa kwa mayunitsi a Royal Bank ndi a Recovery one, koma koposa zonse ku Stopwin phindu la 10%, ndiye ngati ndili ndi 10% roi pama spins omwe amasewera, Ndiyimitsa (Stopwin) ndikuyamba gawo lina (kuchotsa kuwerengera konse) pa roulette ina.

Anthu, makamaka ndikadakhala ndi zambiri zoti ndiwonjezere, koma ngati mtsogolomo wina angakufunseni zambiri za Parrondo Paradox yogwiritsidwa ntchito pa Roulette, mukudziwa komwe mungawongolere.

Komanso kumbukirani kuti zomwe ndapereka pano ndi chimodzi mwazinthu zingapo zomwe zingapangidwe ndikuti, chifukwa cha pulogalamu yamasewera, mutha kudziyesa nokha; Pomaliza, ndikufuna ndikudziwitse, ngati mwangozi idapulumuka wina, izi mwakuchita timasewera misa ngakhale!


Roulette Paradox

logic de roulette, roulette software, software para la roulette, रूले सॉफ्टवेयर, ル ー レ ッ ト ソ フ ト, 轮盘 赌 软件

Ndi pulogalamu ya roulette iyi timatseka zokambirana pamutuwu ndikuyembekeza zosangalatsa, kapena Parrondo Paradox yotchuka.

Zomwe ndikukuwonetsani tsopano ndizachidule chida chowerengera ndalama (Kusamalira ndalama) kutengera zodabwitsazi zamasamu, zomwe ndidasintha pang'ono zomwe ndiziwonetseranso mtsogolo.


Malo atsopano amasewera a Roulette Paradox

Monga tanenera kale, ndapanga kusiyanasiyana ndi kachitidwe koyambirira, chifukwa ndikuyembekeza kuti tsopano zawonekeratu kwa aliyense, vuto pobwezeretsanso parrondo paradox ya roulette ndikungokhala kosatheka kukhala ndi ndalama yomwe imapambana 70% ya time ndi kuti 1 unit imodzi imapambana kapena kutaya, monga ndalama yeniyeni imasewera mukamasewera mitu kapena michira.

Pofuna kuthana ndi chopinga ichi, njira yokhayo ndikupanga ndalama yabodza (mwayi) yomwe ili ndi kuchuluka koteroko, koma zomwe zikachitika zikawonongeka zimayambitsa njira yobwezeretsanso zomwe zidatayika kubwezelera ndalama kuphatikiza pa chakale chimodzi. ndalama.

Ndalama zathu 'zokhwima' munjira imeneyi nthawi zonse zimakhala ndalama za Y, kupatula kuti ndimaganiza zogwiritsa ntchito zosakanikirana zochepa kuposa zomwe tafotokozazi, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti gawo lobwezeretsa likhale losavuta.

Ndazindikira ndalama iyi pakubetcha ndi kuwombera kamodzi Dazeni awiri osakwatira.

Mwanjira imeneyi tili ndi ndalama zopeka kuti zikapambana (64,86% ya nthawiyo), imasonkhanitsa gawo limodzi (ndipo izi ndi zabwino) ndipo ikatayika zimapangitsa kuti pakhale kufunika kupezanso gawo limodzi (kwenikweni, 1 yatayika , koma 2 ndi yomwe ingataye ndalama zachikale, chifukwa chake gawo limodzi lokha liyenera kupezedwa).

Kwa ndalama zina ziwiri zomwe sizingachitike, tikhala ndi mwayi wosavuta mwachisawawa momwe tingakonde.

Timayika mu Paradox Simulator kuchuluka kwa ndalama zitatu izi, ndiye kuti:

  • Ndalama X: 486 / 1.000 (mwayi wosavuta);
  • Ndalama Y: 648 / 1.000 (zipilala 2 kapena 2);
  • Ndalama Z: 486 / 1.000 (mwayi wosavuta).

Potengera kuyerekezera kwa kuchuluka kwa ma spins, choyamba tidzatsimikizira chidziwitso chofunikira kwambiri: zokolola za dongosololi pakalibe zojambulajambula, zomwe zili pafupifupi 10%.

logic de roulette, roulette software, software para la roulette, रूले सॉफ्टवेयर, ル ー レ ッ ト ソ フ ト, 轮盘 赌 软件

Kwa nthawi yayitali ndayesa kusankha izi, chifukwa monga mukuwonera kuchokera pa graph yapitayi, zokopa zabodza za 10% zimatisiyanitsa ndi kusiyana 'kwakukulu', komwe ndiko kupha koyipitsitsa pambuyo pokhoma msonkho, chifukwa Kupambana ndiko kusiyana kosiyana (komwe kulinso pamasewera omwe ali ndi EV yabwino) komanso kukakamizidwa kwamaganizidwe omwe timakhala nawo munthawi zoyipa zamasewera.

Zokwanira kunena kuti makina opambana masamu omwe ali ndi Roi + 1% kapena + 2%, atha kupyola magawo olakwika amazana angapo ngati zikwi zingapo asanabwerere kuzabwino, kodi tonse titha kupirira kukakamizidwa kwamaganizidwe kotere?


Kugwiritsa ntchito Roulette Paradox

logic de roulette, roulette software, software para la roulette, रूले सॉफ्टवेयर, ル ー レ ッ ト ソ フ ト, 轮盘 赌 软件

Kugwiritsa ntchito pulogalamuyi ndikosavuta, timayamba kubetcha gawo limodzi pamwayi wosavuta womwe ukuwonetsedwa mubokosi pansipa (BET ON BLACK mu chithunzi) ndikusinthanso bokosi lazandalama, ndikudina mabatani kumbali kuti mupambane (cheke chobiriwira) kapena kutayika (mtanda wofiira).

Pakadali pano, ingodinani ndalama yotsatira (Y / Z) kutengera imodzi mwaziwiri zomwe ziziwongolera zokha ndipo chifukwa chake muwonetse mwayi womwe akuwonetsedwa ndi wopanga pulogalamuyo mwachisawawa.

Monga gawo muyenera kubetcherana ndalama zomwe zawonetsedwa mu bokosi lachikaso kumanzere kumanzere (Bet Units), pazandalama za X / Z izi zizikhala zofanana ndi 1 unit (ngakhale misa), pa ndalama Y (khumi ndi awiri) izo adzafunika kubetcherana kuchuluka anasonyeza pa dazeni limodzi, ngati '3' ikuwoneka m'bokosi lachikaso, ayenera kukhala bet Magawo atatu khumi ndi awiri oyamba ndipo magawo atatu ali mgawo lachiwiri, kapena omwe pulogalamuyo iwonetse.

Mukafika ku kandalama komaliza kumanja (kwachisanu), mumayamba ndi ndalama yoyamba X ndi zina zotero.

Kuyesa zina ndikukhazikika komwe mungapeze paukonde, muwona kuti Paradox Cash nthawi zonse izikhala ndi +1 kapena -1, ndendende monga zikuwonetsedweratu ndi Parrondo paradox, pomwe General Cash ndi zomwe zili mgawoli zikuchitika (Kuukira Kwaposachedwa) ngati inde itayika ndi ndalama Y, adzalandila mayunitsi -2 (ngati kubetcha kunali gawo limodzi pa khumi ndi awiri).

Monga aliyense atha kutsimikizira chifukwa cha Simulator, makina omwe akhazikitsidwa mwanjira imeneyi amapanga nthano zopeka za 10% ndipo izi ndi masamu, Paradox Cash pakatikati / pompopompo idzagwirizana ndi mtengowu, koma osati ndani amadziwa zamatsenga, koma kungoti chifukwa akatayika ndi ndalama Y amangolemba -1 m'malo mwa -2.

Cholinga chathu chikhala kukhazikitsa njira kuti tipeze mayunitsi ena omwe atayika kuchokera ku ndalama Y.


Kuchira

Chinthu chophweka kwambiri ndikusewerera kupitilira khumi ndi awiri, ndikubetcherana kowonjezeka 2/1/3/9/27 ... mayunitsi khumi ndi awiri, koma kenako timatha kutayika pakadali mphindi zochepa ndipo ichi sicholinga chathu.

Chifukwa chake ndidaganiza zoteteza kuchira motere: choyambirira ngati zokopa zabodza zododometsa za Parrondo zogwiritsa ntchito ndalamazi ndi 3%, zenizeni tidzayesa kulanda pafupifupi theka kubanki, kapena kuposa 10% yabwino ya Roi mu Real ndalama, yomwe ili kale bizinesi.

Ngati mkati mwa gawo limodzi ndalama za X / Z zidatikondera potipindulira ma spins poyerekeza ndi omwe adaseweredwa, mayunitsi owonjezerawa azithandiza kuchepetsa kubetcha.

Mwachitsanzo, ngati nditapota 20 ndili ndi magawo 4 + a ndalama, ndiye kuti ndili ndi mayunitsi ena atatu poyerekeza ndi 3% pazowombera zomwe ndimasewera (pamenepo ndiyenera kukhala pa +5), chabwino, ngati pano ndingataye Kutembenuka ndi ndalama Y (yomwe imapambana kawiri kawiri pa 1), pulogalamuyo siyimakweza pomwepo kuti ichiritse, koma imakhalabe pachiwopsezo 2 mpaka Roi wa cashier weniweni pamapeto pake agwe pansi pa 3%.

Izi zikutanthauza kuti muchitsanzo pamwambapa ndimatha kupitilirabe kawiri pa Y osachita kukweza ndalama.

Chinyengo chachiwiri chothandizira kuti mtengo ukhale wotsika ndichakuti njira yochotsera imangokhala pa ndalama Y, izi zimathandiza chifukwa mayendedwe opambana omwe akuyembekezeredwa pakamenyedwe kamodzi amakhala pafupifupi 65%, apamwamba kwambiri kuposa mwayi wina womwe udaseweredwa. Ndalama z / Z (48,6%) ndipo chifukwa chake magawo olakwika sadzakhala ataliatali, ngakhale kutayika kumeneku kuli kawiri, koma simungakhale ndi zonse!


Muli ndalama ndi Roulette Paradox

Chachitatu chopezeka pamtengo ndichakuti kukhala ndi ndalama Y yotheka 65%, ndiye kuti, kupambana pafupifupi 2 pa 3 kumenya, pulogalamuyo iyesa kuyambiranso osati kamodzi kokha, kutikakamiza pafupifupi kupita ku martingale katatu, koma nthawi zonse mu zikwapu ziwiri zosungunulidwa mpaka kumapeto, zotsatira zake zimapezeka ndikugawa kuchira kawiri konse.

Kodi kuchira kumawerengedwa bwanji? Sikuti ndi chiwerengero cha mayunitsi omwe adatayika ndi ndalama Y, koma pafupifupi 50% ya kusiyana pakati pa Paradox ndi Real Cache.

M'malo mwake, ngati nthawi ina mgawoli Paradox Cashier (yomwe ndikukumbutsani kuti mujambula phindu la 10% pamavuto omwe adaseweredwa) ili pa + 6 ndipo Real Cashier m'malo mwake ali pa -4 chifukwa cha mayunitsi omwe atayika pa Y ndalama, chobwezeretsedwacho chikhazikitsidwa pogawa ndi 2 kusiyana pakati pa +6 ndi -4, ndiye mayunitsi 10, chifukwa chake pamtengo uwu padzakhala mayunitsi 5 pa dazeni limodzi.

Ngati kupambana kwa kuwombera (komwe tikukumbukira kuli ndi kupambana kwa 65%), ndalama zatsopanozi zidzakhala +7 kwa Paradox Cashier ndi +1 ya Real ndipo chifukwa chake kubetcha kwatsopano kudzakhala kofanana ndi mayunitsi atatu khumi ndi awiri.

Mukatayika, Royal Bank ipita ku -14 ndipo Chododometsa chidzafika pa + 5, ndiye kubetcherana kotsatira kwa ndalama Y kudzakhala magawo 10 pa khumi ndi awiri omwe, monga mukuwonera, ndi okhawo kuwirikiza kawiri osapitilira katatu monga zimakhalira ndikuchulukirachulukira khumi ndi awiri.

Kuphatikiza apo: popeza ndalama Y, malinga ndi malamulo achikale a Parrondo paradox, imaseweredwa pokhapokha ngati nthawi yobetcherayo ndalama sizingagawanike ndi 3 (pamenepa, ndalama Z zimaseweredwa), makamaka pamene ife molingana ndi ziyembekezo, zichitika kuti kusiyanasiyana kwabwino kwa ndalama za X / Z kudzapangitsa kuchedwa kuyambitsa kuwonjezeka kwa kubetcha, komwe sikofunikira ngati titaya zikwapu zochepa ndi ndalama Y koma roi ikugwirizanabe ndi cholinga cha + 5%.

logic de roulette, roulette software, software para la roulette, रूले सॉफ्टवेयर, ル ー レ ッ ト ソ フ ト, 轮盘 赌 软件

In Roulette Paradox Zonse ndizokhazikika, ingolozani zomwe zikuwonetsedwa pomwe zikuwonetsedwa ndikudina mabatani kuti mulembe zotsatira za kuwombera (won / kutaya).

Pulogalamuyi ilinso ndi ntchito yopulumutsa magawo ndi graph kuti muwone momwe Banki Yeniyeni ikuyendera (mabatani kumanja kumanja).

Kuphatikiza apo, bola ngati roi% ya Real Cash ili 5% kapena kupitilira apo, batani lobiriwira (Target Roi) lokhala ndi zilembo 5% likuwala, izi kutisonyeza kuti 'tikhale odekha', chifukwa batani lofiira (Next Bet on Ndalama Y) m'malo mwake ziziwonetsa kuchuluka komwe tiyenera kubetcherana pa ndalama Y (kufunika kuti nthawi zonse tizichulukitsa ndi 2, popeza tifunika kubetcherana pa khumi ndi awiri) ndipo ngati kubetcherako kuli mwachitsanzo ma unit 2 pa dazeni, koma mulimonsemo roi weniweni ndi 7%, ndani amatikakamiza kukweza ndalama? Ingosankha '5' mubokosi lachikaso Maunitsi a Beteli ndikutsitsa mtengo womwe akufuna.

Kumbukirani: pulogalamuyo 'imafotokoza', koma tikakayikira tili ndi ufulu wosankha kutengera momwe zinthu ziliri.

Tabwera tsopano pamafunso azizolowezi: koma kodi dongosololi limabweretsa mwayi wotani kwa wosewera? Zimatenga ndalama zochuluka motani? Kodi ndiyenera kuyika Stopwin kapena Stoploss pamaphunzirowa?

Kuyendetsa komwe kwatchulidwa pano sikungabweretse mwayi kwa wosewerayo, chifukwa chiyembekezo chakuwina pa sapota iliyonse sichinasinthidwe, chomwe chikuyenera kutsimikiziridwa ndikugawana zomwe zatayidwa, zomwe m'dongosolo lino zingawoneke kuti zilangidwa ndi kuyembekezera zabodza zakupambana Paradox (+ 10%).

Panthawi yolemba nkhaniyi ndakhala ndikusewera pafupifupi ma spins enieni a 2.000 (roulette yapaintaneti mwamphamvu ndi ogulitsa amoyo) ndipo ndiyenera kunena kuti sindinapatuke pamtengo woyembekezeredwa (5% weniweni) ngati sichoncho ndi kusinthasintha komwe kuli zonse .

Ndikudziwa kuti ma spins 2.000 ndi ochepa, komabe, monga ziwerengerozi zidaneneratu, ndidakumananso ndi 6/7 motsatira motsatizana ndi ndalama za Y, zomwe ndikachira koyenera kwa khumi ndi awiri zikadapanga owonjezera ambiri, m'malo mwake kubetcha kwapamwamba kwambiri komwe Ndimayenera kuchita mpaka pano panali mayunitsi 2 pa dazeni (mayunitsi okwana 30), gawo lomwe lidabweranso mwachangu chifukwa ndikukukumbutsani kuti kuwombera konse Y kumapambana pafupifupi 60% ya nthawiyo.


Bankroll

Kutengera kuyesa kwanga ndinganene kuti mayunitsi 400 ndi achilungamo.

Ngati, monga tingayesere kutsimikizira, njirayi 'imafewetsa' kusiyanasiyana popanda kudziyesa ngati akuphwanya malamulo amilandu, ndalama zoyambirira za 100 mayuro zikhala zokwanira, zomwe zikugwirizana ndendende ndi mayunitsi 400 a masenti 0,25.

Chabwino, izi ndi pafupifupi chilichonse, ndichidziwikire kuti ndikulimbikitsani kuti nthawi zonse muziyesa zambiri ndikutsalira kwenikweni komwe kumatha kutsitsidwa paukonde musanayike senti imodzi pamphasa wobiriwira (weniweni kapena weniweni), kuyesa ndi kwaulere komanso pamwambapa zonse zimakupatsani mwayi woti muziyesa zomwe tingayembekezere pamasewerawa molingana ndi magawo olakwika komanso kubetcherana kwakukulu, kupatula apo palibe chomwe chimalepheretsa wina kuti aganizire zochenjera zina kuti athetse kukana kwa njirayi Chododometsa cha Parrondo kuyimba.